Analyzing COVID-19 progression with Markov multistage models: insights from a Korean cohort

Genomics & Informatics

Table 4 Estimated transition probabilities within 7, 14 and 30 days after hospitalization

Time and state	Estimated transition probability
Time and state	State 1	State 2	State 3	State 4	State 5
7 days
State 1	0.385	0.551	0.062	0.002	3e⁻⁰⁴
State 2	0.152	0.722	0.121	0.005	0.001
State 3	0.082	0.574	0.313	0.025	0.006
State 4	0.036	0.345	0.369	0.208	0.041
State 5	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	1.000
14 days
State 1	0.237	0.646	0.111	0.005	0.001
State 2	0.178	0.675	0.136	0.008	0.003
State 3	0.145	0.648	0.182	0.016	0.010
State 4	0.104	0.553	0.236	0.054	0.053
State 5	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	1.000
30 days
State 1	0.186	0.664	0.136	0.008	0.005
State 2	0.183	0.663	0.138	0.009	0.007
State 3	0.179	0.657	0.140	0.009	0.015
State 4	0.166	0.625	0.139	0.011	0.060
State 5	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	1.000

ISSN: 2234-0742